From the daily archives:

Saturday, September 20, 2008

Warren Buffet on Derivatives

by Frank Paynter on September 20, 2008

Berkshire Hathaway Annual Report 12/31/2002

Derivatives

Charlie and I are of one mind in how we feel about derivatives and the trading activities that go with them: We view them as time bombs, both for the parties that deal in them and the economic system.

Having delivered that thought, which I’ll get back to, let me retreat to explaining derivatives, though the explanation must be general because the word covers an extraordinarily wide range of financial contracts. Essentially, these instruments call for money to change hands at some future date, with the amount to be determined by one or more reference items, such as interest rates, stock prices or currency values. If, for example, you are either long or short an S&P 500 futures contract, you are a party to a very simple derivatives transaction – with your gain or loss derived from movements in the index. Derivatives contracts are of varying duration (running sometimes to 20 or more years) and their value is often tied to several variables.

Unless derivatives contracts are collateralized or guaranteed, their ultimate value also depends on the
creditworthiness of the counterparties to them. In the meantime, though, before a contract is settled, the counterparties record profits and losses – often huge in amount – in their current earnings statements without so much as a penny changing hands.

The range of derivatives contracts is limited only by the imagination of man (or sometimes, so it seems, madmen). At Enron, for example, newsprint and broadband derivatives, due to be settled many years in the future, were put on the books. Or say you want to write a contract speculating on the number of twins to be born in Nebraska in 2020. No problem – at a price, you will easily find an obliging counterparty. [click to continue…]

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Blame McSame

by Frank Paynter on September 20, 2008

“Crash” McCain is caught in this YouTube video with his hand in our pockets.

Reports to back up the claims:

McCain votes with Bush & Big Corporations:

http://www.factcheck.org/askfactcheck…

Lobbyists Running the McCain Campaign:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/…

A Tax Plan for the Rich (LA Times):

http://tinyurl.com/3e98ql

This clip made by a private citizen.

“Information is the currency of democracy.”
-Thomas Jefferson

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Donate to Planned Parenthood in Sarah Palin’s Name

September 20, 2008

Thanks to the friend who passed along this constructive opportunity to let Sarah know we’re thinking of her, and to do some good as well!  I plan to chip in, and i hope you do too.
The smallest donation is $5: The cost: priceless.
Make a donation to Planned Parenthood in Sarah Palin’s name.
When you make [...]

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New Rules… house of cards division

September 20, 2008

Some notes…
Bear Stearns:
You remember the pump and dump, right? That’s where a certain someone buys stock in a company, then goes to message boards, chat rooms, and spam e-mail lists to talk other people into buying it. Their sudden surge in buy orders sends the stock price up, allowing the certain someone to [...]

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In your shorts

September 20, 2008

Here’s a pretty good article on asymmetric risk. It provides an entering wedge into understanding the delusional nature of hedge funds. Consider…
Almost, all financial derivatives display asymmetric payoffs. All sold (short) option positions and sold (short) derivatives positions – something that banks, financial institutions, hedge funds and even corporations engage in regularly these [...]

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